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White-collar wipeout | AI could replace employees for 'all professional tasks' within 18 months, Microsoft chief says

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Warnings about artificial intelligence reshaping white-collar employment continue as technology leaders predict rapid automation across professional roles.

In a recent interview with the Financial Times, Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Microsoft AI, said AI could soon perform “human-level performance on most, if not ”

He suggested that work involving “sitting down at a computer” could be automated within 12 to 18 months, identifying accounting, legal, marketing, and project management as particularly exposed fields.

Predictions of automation accelerate

Suleyman pointed to rapid advances in computational power as a key driver of change, saying AI models could soon code more effectively than most human programmers. His comments echo concerns raised by AI researcher Matt Shumer, who compared the current moment to early 2020 before the pandemic disrupted the US economy.

Other technology leaders have issued similar warnings. OpenAI's Sam Altman has spoken about the pace of AI development, while Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, warned in 2025 that AI could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar roles. And Ford boss Jim Farley, has said the technology could reduce white-collar employment significantly in the US.

In The Atlantic, journalist Josh Tyrangiel argued the US is not prepared for potential disruption, comparing corporate silence to seeing “a shark fin break the water.” Meanwhile, Elon Musk recently said artificial general intelligence could arrive as early as this year.

Evidence of workplace impact remains limited

Despite strong predictions, current research shows only modest workplace impact from AI adoption. A 2025 report from Thomson Reuters found professionals including lawyers, accountants, and auditors are primarily using AI for targeted tasks such as document review and routine analysis, producing only marginal productivity improvements.

Some findings suggest productivity declines in certain technical roles. Research from nonprofit Model Evaluation and Threat Research found software developers using AI tools took 20% longer to complete tasks.

Economic data also indicates that financial gains from AI are concentrated in the technology sector. Research from Apollo Global Management Chief Economist Torsten Slok showed Big Tech profit margins rose more than 20% in the fourth quarter of 2025, while the broader Bloomberg 500 Index saw little change. Slok also noted that “investors do not believe AI will result in higher earnings outside the tech sector,” referencing Wall Street expectations for the S&P 500.

Early workforce reductions emerge

Some job displacement linked to AI has already occurred. Employment consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported about 55,000 job cuts in 2025 connected to AI. Microsoft eliminated 15,000 roles last year, though the company did not attribute the reductions directly to AI. In a memo following the layoffs, CEO Satya Nadella said the company must “reimagine our mission for a new era.”

There is also some discussion around whether AI is being used as an excuse for making large-scale workforce reductions. 

Financial markets are reacting strongly to automation expectations. Software stocks recently experienced a major selloff following the introduction of enterprise “agentic AI” systems by Anthropic and OpenAI capable of performing many software-as-a-service functions.

Suleyman remains confident about AI’s long-term potential, saying that organizations will be able to design customized AI systems for specific functions.

“Creating a new model is going to be like creating a podcast or writing a blog.” He added that Microsoft AI’s mission is to achieve “superintelligence” by developing independent foundation models, calling AI “the most important technology of our time.”

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